A problem people bring · solved
I can't afford to lose, so I never start
Being right can earn without a stake, because proof is nearly free: a timestamped call, scored later. Read prediction markets for free, publish dated calls, let Fomo Resolved rank you by how followers fared, and turn the record into studies or paid research. Your bankroll is your honesty.
- 3 stops
- 15 minutes, all in
- 3 surprises
- 1 live demo
Chapter 1
Who knew?
Forecasters are judged by calibration: of the things you called at 70%, did about 70% happen?
Prediction market odds are free to read, so you can practise against the crowd without placing a trade.
A ranked caller record is rare enough that teams, funds and newsletters look for it.
To earn from markets you have to put money in them and accept losses.
Reading odds and publishing dated calls costs nothing. Onchain timestamps cost cents. The cost is time, and the honesty to keep the misses in the record.
Chapter 2
The free route, step by step
3 stops, cheapest first
Three ways through
Pick your route
- Start free tonight
Win prizes for being right, stake nothing
Metaculus tournaments pay cash from sponsors for good forecasts, no bet needed. Pair it with dated calls and you build a record at zero cost.
- Forecast for free and chase sponsor prizes
- Read the crowd's real-money odds on the news
- Join one prize tournament this week and forecast five questions.
Cost Free. Prizes are paid by sponsors and never guaranteed.
- The bold play
Turn a calibration record into paid research
Built by the HouseA long, honest record is rare. Once it exists, it is something people and agents will pay to query, one answer at a time, without you ever placing a big bet.
- Forecast for free and chase sponsor prizes
- Put a small stake behind an opinion
- Hire an AI agent with nothing but a wallet
- Put your scored record behind a pay-per-call x402 endpoint.
Cost $1 stakes if you choose them; an x402 endpoint costs a server change. Income is not guaranteed.
- Build it
Build the calibration card
Nobody has made a simple card that turns dated calls into a Brier score anyone can verify.
- Paste dated calls, compute a Brier score and a chart.
- Give or get a work reference that lives onchain
- Mint the result as a shareable attestation.
Cost Gas of a fraction of a cent per attestation on Base, plus build time.
Your version
Make this mine
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Past the basics
What’s possible
- Live today
Win a share of a sponsor-funded prize pool with forecasts alone.
How Join a Metaculus tournament. Forecast early. Update often.
- Possible to build
A forecast diary where each call is an EAS attestation stamped beside the Polymarket price at that moment, so your edge over the crowd is provable.
How Create an EAS schema with market, your probability and the market price. Attest each call on Base for cents. Score them with a Brier score when markets resolve.
- Live today
Get ranked as a caller by what happened to your followers, not by how loud you were.
How Post dated calls. Let Fomo Resolved track follower outcomes. Link the rank from your bio.
- Possible to build
A hiring board where analysts apply with a calibration score instead of a CV.
How Read forecasters' attested calls. Compute scores openly. Let teams post paid research briefs to the top-calibrated.
Project + project
Combos nobody marketed
- Polymarket odds+EAS attestations=
A tamper-evident forecast diary: each call stamped onchain next to the market price at that moment.
Why it works EAS lets anyone write a signed, dated record; the market price gives a fair baseline to beat.
- Fomo Resolved ranks+Coinjure studies=
Proven callers publish live studies of a coin instead of shilling it.
Why it works A record of follower outcomes gives readers a reason to trust the study, and creator fees reward the work, not the pump.
- Metaculus record+EAS attestation=
A free scored track record you can carry onchain and show anyone.
Why it works Metaculus profiles are public; EAS stamps a dated copy.
- Manifold play money+Polymarket odds=
Practise on free play money until you beat the real market price, then decide.
Why it works Manifold costs nothing; Polymarket gives a real baseline.
Chapter 3
Try it live
Built by the HouseDo not take our word for it. Forecast Pedigree (Deployr) runs right here, so you can poke at the real thing before you commit to anything.
Wallet or sign-in will not open in here? Open Forecast Pedigree (Deployr) in a new tab ↗
Chapter 4
Where it matters most
- students and the unbanked-curious
Learn markets with a record instead of a loss.
- analysts between jobs
A scored public record works like a portfolio a hiring manager can check.
- group chats that argue about price
Turn arguments into dated calls and see who was really right.
Chapter 5 · Not built yet?
Build it
A calibration card: paste your dated calls, get a Brier score and a chart, minted as a shareable attestation.
Who could build it Anyone who wants to be hired for judgement.
For founders
Uses you never marketed
Connections
People to meet
- Metaculus
See open prize tournaments.
- forecasters on Polymarket
Compare notes on markets you both read; the best ones share methods freely.
- Fomo Resolved callers
See how ranked callers keep records and what they wish they had tracked earlier.
- curators of the House
Curators earn REP for verified, useful work, a path to paid curation.
Propose a bridgetwo projects, one outcome neither could reach alone
Questions
Can I earn from predictions without betting?
You can build a scored record and offer research, curation or studies on it. Income is not guaranteed; the record is what you control.
What is calibration?
How well your stated probabilities match outcomes over many calls. It is measured with tools like the Brier score.
Is reading Polymarket legal everywhere?
Reading is public, but trading is restricted in many countries. Check your local rules before trading.
Why keep my wrong calls?
A record with misses removed is worthless. Complete records are what make a caller credible.
If every call you made from today were stamped and scored, what would you have the courage to say, and what would you finally stop saying?
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